high predictive capcity

July 15, 2020 | Understanding US policy tools and future use of the International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA)

“I think there is something also buried in the executive order that’s even more important and what that is, is the President invoked the International Economic Emergency Powers Act… we’re going to hear that again.” 

June 30, 2019 | Forecasting the DoD list linking Chinese companies with the PLA

“It's called civil military fusion and it's the Chinese communist party's attempt to take their private sector into their civilian industrial sector and transfer the innovations that are made in the civilian sector to the Chinese military… it's basically a military that's built to take on the United States.” 

May 31, 2019 | Anticipating Chinese retaliatory actions to US economic sanctions

“That's exactly right and I think the issue you've got now is that when you have China escalating, talking about what they might be able to do with rare earths or creating their own set of blacklists in response to Huawei. You're talking about them essentially defending their path to supremacy through malpractices, through technology traffic-theft, [and] through a massive industrial espionage.”